Wednesday 28 August 2013

US Open

Well the first day of trading went well overall. It would have been break even but for the davydenko rhyne Williams match.  I entered the market at the best possible time when rhyne Williams was 2 sets up and double break up in 4th set. I laid him at 1.04 and davy immediately broke back. I exited the trade leaving most of my green on davy and he delivered for a nice pay day.

Day 2 of the us open went horribly wrong. The day started badly with the wicky kiri match. I felt Kiri was far too short at 1.3 and had to be a lay as she had been badly out of form and not really won any matches in a straight forward way so there was a good chance she would trade higher. Unfortunately this was a train to 1.01 and I lost full stake. I think I tilted a bit after this loss and did some trades which I normally wouldn't do such as lay Tommy Haas at 1.12 and lay Kuznetsova at 1.2. Both ended up badly with not much of a fight from either Burdette or Mathieu. I need to cut out these stupid trades and find some more discipline when things go wrong.

I am lowering my stakes today after a brutal day yday. Some matches I will get involved with include Hewitt Baker. I feel Baker has a good chance to win and will be laying Hewitt from the start and at lower odds if he starts well. Also I think that the unpredictable dolgopolov is a lay at 1.7 but I'll see how he starts first. There's also a good chance that Kerber will trade higher and may even lose the match against Genie so she is a lay at 1.37.

Good luck
Jay

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