Wednesday 15 December 2010

Phillipino Basketball

Cant get much better than this for trading. Phillipino basketball going to 3 over time quarters lol. Managed over 50% ROI

Thursday 9 December 2010

IM BACK

My account is sorted so let the trading commence again. Trading the snooker tonight. Found Robertson at a juicy price will let u know the results later on.

Maybe I will trade the exhibition as well between Henin and Clijsters. I think Clijsters is far too short for this. Will update later

First trade gone well, by just looking at the graph of the match could see roughly when to enter, currently this is my position with 40% ROI on Robertson

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Lets hope Justine can deliver laid Clijsters 1.09, 1.04 and 1.29. U never know with these exhibitions!

Tuesday 30 November 2010

Hi guys sorry for the lack of posts for the semis and final at the o2. Had some problems with my betfair account which I am trying to resolve. Hopefully will be back soon trading in footy and other sports before the tennis starts again.

Thursday 25 November 2010

Nadal - Berdman & Joker - A Rod

Will not be getting involved in Nadal match at that price, will enter if nadal starts slowly like he has done in the previous 2 matches.

I've backed A Rod in the match against Joker & also taken some 170/1 for Roddick outright. I think this is good value as if he somehow reaches the semi odds will plummet down to around 10-15 so should be a good trade. I've backed A rod pre match also as those odds are completely wrong I feel. Head to head is 5-2 Roddick and Roddick has won the last 4 against Djok so obviously knows how to beat him. I should have waited though as took 3/1 and odds have now rise to 3.25. Oh well...lets see how it goes.

Fed vs Sod

Was involved in some game betting today in this match, only on Sod serve though, some good opportunities to trade as he never held serve easy.

Found a little value in set betting, a small delivery:



Fed Sod & Murray Ferrer

Not looking to back Fed at that price, probably wont get involved as Fed will kill him in 2 so dont see any value. However if Fed goes down an early breakI will look to get involved and take Fed at a higher price.

I will be laying Murray at 1.2 pre match in his match against Ferrer and will lay more at sub 1.15. He is far too short and if you just look at head to head its 3-1 to Ferrer even though most are on clay this surface is slow and could help Ferrer. We also know that Ferrer will fight for every point so should be good match to trade. I expect Murray to trade much higher than starting price.

Wednesday 24 November 2010

A Rod Vs Berdych

A little research can take u very far :)

Saw some value in the correct score market...this is what i produced with very small stakes...not bad!




Getting in early

Getting in early if price drops steeply can be very profitable...with such a long time till end of match it is more than likely that odds will fluctuate. I took advantage of this in the match today:

Tuesday 23 November 2010

Doubles

Wow just watching the doubles before the Fed Murray match....seems like doubles is great for trading...or maybe it was just this one lol, check the graph:

Fed vs Murray

I think the Fed price is decent value even pre match. Look at his record this year on indoor surfaces...its 12 wins to 1 loss, and in his one loss he was taken to 3 sets by Monfils. Im backing Fed a little pre match and back more at higher odds if he lose first set. Fed has never been beaten in straight sets in indoor matches so there will hopefully be a good opportunity to trade even if he loses first set. Lets hope for some big greeeeen baby!!

Monday 22 November 2010

Nadal vs Roddick

Looking forward to this match tonight, I think match will be closer than odds suggest. The surface is not great for Nadal and he performed so poorly last year on it not even winning a set! Roddicks serve will be crucial today, if he serves well he will have a chance. I wont take a position pre match but look for better in play. Lets see how it goes!

Trading went well, I missed a huge chance to win a lot by not laying Roddick when break up at 1.25 was waiting for him to hold then lay lower. Ended up scalping most games in 2nd with a decent profit. Some great swings in this game for trades.


Sunday 21 November 2010

Fed vs Ferrer

End up making nothing in this match, I laid Fed at 1.04 and exit at 1.05 to leave all green on Ferrer hoping he will come back into the match. Oh well.....better than a loss :)

Wade vs Waites

Strategy I will use for this match will be to wait for higher odds on Wade, if he reaches around 2 I will back him, Wade has much more experience in finals then Waites but Waites has been playing great this week. He got killed by Taylor last year but this could be a much closer match as he is probably less nervous than last year. I expect Wade to win it but wont back him at 1.5. Lets see how this goes.

Soderling vs Murray

Wow what a mess I made of this trade, I backed soderling big after he got broke and did not trade out. Made a loss of £150 and was very poor bankroll management by me. Still fuming with how bad he played considering his form and indoor record...oh well goto keep a cool mind now and get ready for the Fed match.

This is an example of greed and over staking. Hopefully I will learn from this.

Saturday 20 November 2010

Beaton vs Taylor

What an epic match we had today between Taylor and Beaton, head to head was 16-1 Taylor so everyone expected a very one sided match, however the way Beaton has played over the last few days there was a glimmer of a hope of an upset. I backed Taylor early on at 1.3 when Beaton broke, Taylor broke back bringing odds back to 1.1 and i exit. I kept a lot of green on Beaton and equalised it in final leg:



Email me if interested in trading classes.

Bring on the O2 Tomorrow!!!!

Waites vs Stompe

Got in early as Waites started very fast going 4-1, thought 1.2 was a little low so layed it as Stompe takes time to get going:

Wade vs Jenkins

What an incredible match to trade:



I layed Wade at 1.17 and managed a decent profit.

A poor trade in the Manchester United match... thought Wigan could come back into it at 1-0 down, so I  had a cheeky lay at 1.13 but looks like it wont be coming off.

Friday 19 November 2010

Current Bank

Bank now stands at:


Building towards O2!!!

Barny vs Waites

My tip for this one is to back Waites from the start. Barny's body language has been poor this tourny and I don't think he is trying 100%, whereas Waites reached the final here last year and obviously likes this place a lot. I took 2.2 pre match. Lets see how it goes!! I will exit around the 1.4 mark.

Perfect trade for me, ended like this with 75% ROI:

Hankey vs Beaton

I could not believe that Hankey reached 1.2 after just one break at beginning of match! I had to lay that lol...so i went ahead and laid 1.2 and voila....beaton then takes 6 in a row! a great trade there and over 100% ROI:

Current bank

Bank currently stands at:


One poor trade last night in the Osborne vs Anderson match which lost me £25 but the bank has at least grown :)

Looking for some value trades tonight in the darts, some good matches to look forward to.

Thursday 18 November 2010

Now Snooker lol

Watching the markets in Murphy Robertson match and market was waaay too much in favour of Murphy at only 1-0 up in frames and afterall Robertson is world number 1 and a class player. I lay Murphy at 1.51 and got the lowest price :) as can see below:



End up nice green on both, almost 100% as risk £25

Trading the darts

I couldn't resist but trade the darts tonight lol...and what a match we had between James Wade and Mervyn King...just look at the graph!



I took my position early as Wade was far too low early on so layed him at 1.25 for a £25 liability. Managed to finish +39 on King and +19 on Wade so a decent trade.

Yoooo

I will use this blog to write about my tennis trading journey. I have deposited £500 in my betfair account and will post my trades. Hopefully this blog will keep me disciplined as this is very important to be a successfull trader...& of course a lot of patience.

Let the countdown to the O2 Beginnnnnnnn!!!

Current account balance : £507.33

I will only stake a maximum of 10% of my bank.

No trades till first day of the ATP World Tour Finals which start on Sunday.