US Open

Well the first day of trading went well overall. It would have been break even but for the davydenko rhyne Williams match.  I entered the market at the best possible time when rhyne Williams was 2 sets up and double break up in 4th set. I laid him at 1.04 and davy immediately broke back. I exited the trade leaving most of my green on davy and he delivered for a nice pay day.

Day 2 of the us open went horribly wrong. The day started badly with the wicky kiri match. I felt Kiri was far too short at 1.3 and had to be a lay as she had been badly out of form and not really won any matches in a straight forward way so there was a good chance she would trade higher. Unfortunately this was a train to 1.01 and I lost full stake. I think I tilted a bit after this loss and did some trades which I normally wouldn't do such as lay Tommy Haas at 1.12 and lay Kuznetsova at 1.2. Both ended up badly with not much of a fight from either Burdette or Mathieu. I need to cut out these stupid trades and find some more discipline when things go wrong.

I am lowering my stakes today after a brutal day yday. Some matches I will get involved with include Hewitt Baker. I feel Baker has a good chance to win and will be laying Hewitt from the start and at lower odds if he starts well. Also I think that the unpredictable dolgopolov is a lay at 1.7 but I'll see how he starts first. There's also a good chance that Kerber will trade higher and may even lose the match against Genie so she is a lay at 1.37.

Good luck
Jay

Good day yday, managed to lay ferrer at 1.4, was gonna lay more if he started well and also backed isner at 1.77. Couldn't resist and didn't wait till in play. Also a lay of 1.3 on stephens paid off. I laid Nadal at 1.16 and more in the second set at 1.04. Got lucky here with dimi breaking back and taking the set or else would have been big red for me.

One poor trade on the haas vs federer match where I laid haas at 1.6 after 1st set and as soon as he broke fed in the first game I redded out at 1.27. Bit more patience here and  I could have been green as fed went on to win the match.

Today I will be laying djoko at 1.15. Will lay more if he starts well. In their previous meetings the first set has always been close so I can see djokos price reaching at least 1.25 at some point in the first set which will be a good price to exit the trade.

I think murray will get the better of berdych but wont be touching his price pre match. I'm hoping he starts slow so I can back him around evens.

Not getting involved pre match in the nadal fed match. I feel Nadal is very short here but not sure fed's game is at the level atm to trouble him. Nadal started at roughly 1.22 in their final in Rome on the clay and is 1.29 in the match today, even though Fed is miles better on the hard courts. Maybe a small lay of Nadalfrom the start is the way forward.

Todays trades:

I will be looking to lay Ferrer if he goes break up, I feel he is completely out of form with even Harrison pushing him right till the end. A good lay price will be around 1.25 or below.

I'm also staying up for the Nadal match and will be laying him from the start. Dimitrov has taken a set off him on the clay & he is serving well enough to cause Nadal some problems.

Isner looks a nice price and I'll be looking to back him around evens.

Jankovic starts as favourite against Stephens. I  wont be touching the match odds pre match, I think this match has a lot of potential for inplay trades as could be very swingy with a lot of breaks.

Good luck

Crazy day for me yday. Started very well, quickly building a profit of £350 with a lay of paire when serving for the first set and also lay of rybarikova when serving for the 1st set. I also backed errani at 2.1 when she was a couple break points down in the first set. Managed to lay murray at 1.2 which I exited when gulbis won the first set.

Things went downhill after that. I backed Jankovic when 4-3 down in the 1st set at roughly 1.95, she immediately got broken and cirstea then served out the set. I then layed cirstea at 1.5 at the beginning of the second, increasing my liability on her. It was pretty much a train to 1.01 then & I ended up with a hefty loss.

I thought del potro was decent value last night & I backed him at around 1.8 in the first set. I guess I was slightly on tilt here and overstaked on him. Seemed like he was a little tired but thought he still had an edge on Raonic. I exited the trade when Raonic won the first set & of course Del Potro breaks first game and the price shoots up again. I took another decent sized loss here.

All in all I still made decent profit but with a bit more discipline would have been much more.

Trades today. I will be looking to lay Radwanska sub 1.3 and back Pospisil around evens.

Good luck

Plenty of good matches on today with a lot of the top players in action. Yesterday was quite profitable with backs of Vinci at 2.06, errani when 2 bps down at 2.04 & a lay of ivanovic at 1.15 which i exited at 1.33. Also managed to lay janowicz after the first set at 1.22 and exited that trade at 1.55 once dancevic won the 2nd set.

Today I will be looking to lay radwanska at 1.26  and below. I feel Stephens has the game to trouble her and has taken sets off her in their last two matches Na Li looks a big price against ivanovic at 1.51 but I will wait and watch the start of the match to see how shes playing.

Del Potro looks a big price against Raonic at 1.6. This price has factored in the late night match he had yday. I didn't watch it but heard he was v close to going out after being a double break down in the 3rd set. Not sure how tired he is after winning washington alst week but still feel he is decent value against an out of form Raonic. I may watch the start before I get involved.

Good luck

Yday started well with a lay of kuznetsova at 1.1 after she won first set. Same thing happened when they played in the qualies on Sunday and Davies came back and won the match. Well it happened again this time!

Managed to back Stepanek also in the 2nd set at around 1.7. Having lost that set he did break first in the 3rd and I exited the trade at 1.25.

Things went horribleywrong in the Flipkins vs Venus match. I laid Venus at 1.3 but thought she was going to be too strong having won the first set 6-0 and exited for a loss at 1.15. Then for some reason I went back in in the 3rd set and backed venus and let the trade run for too long, this pretty much wiped my profits for the day although I managed a good lay on Baghdatis at 1.18 which paid off as he lost the 2nd set easily and the 3rd.

Looking at todays matches, I am looking to lay Gulbis if he reaches sub 1.3. Back Kirilenko at roughly 2 & lay bartoli around 1.2. Vinci looks a nice price at 1.77. I will take a bit of that also prematch.

Good luck

Looking at today's schedule, can see decent value in dancevic @ 2.44, has a 3-0 h2h against Lu & normally plays well in his home country. Will probs back small @ 2.44 and lay more sub 1.5 on Lu.

Kirilenko starts as fav at 1.39 which seems fair but I will be looking to back her at around 1.7-1.8.

I feel baghdatis is a little on the short side @ 1.7 . I will not get involved at the start and wait for the match to develop. Will be looking to lay baggy sub 1.3ish.

Stepanek has a good record against almagro and starts at 2.58. I will see how he starts before getting involved.

Jay

Hi guys, going to start posting again from today, will be posting my thought on this weeks ATP & WTA tournaments.